Goals of the CSEP Testing Center at SCEC

The CSEP Testing Center at SCEC is designed to provide an well controlled environment in which earthquake forecasts can be run and evaluated over a substantial period of time. In order for a testing center to produce meaningful results, we have identified several system goals which we believe are essential to effective testing centers and useful results. We have tried to implement the CSEP Testing Center at SCEC in a manner that meets these goals and requirements.

Establish rigorous methods for registering prediction procedures.

Develop community-endorsed standards for assessing probability-based and alarm-based predictions.

Develop hardware and software support that would allow individual researchers and groups to participate in prediction experiments; and update their procedures as results become available.

Provide prediction experiments with access to data and monitoring products, authorized by the agencies that produce them.

Accommodate a wide-ranging set of prediction experiments involving fault systems in different geologic environments.

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