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Forecast Template

Forecast templates are available in different formats. The MatLab and ASCII formats are deprecated, but can still be used.

Download forecast template in ForecastML
Download forecast template as ASCII file
Download forecast template as MatLab file

The figure shows the bins of the testing area as white squares. Gray squares indicate the collection area as extension of the testing area.

testing.area
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Declustered catalog

We declustered the ANSS catalog (1984-2004) with the same algorithm used for testing: We created more than 20000 declustered catalogs with varying parameters (Monte Carlo search) of the Reasenberg declustering algorithm. We varied RFACT (5-20), xk (0-1), TAUMIN (0.5-2.5), TAUMAX (3-15), and P (0.9-0.99). The completeness parameter was set to XMEFF=3 and the catalogs cut accordingly. The columns are: 1-Longitude, 2-Latitude, 3-Decimal year, 4-Month, 5-Day, 6-Magnitude, 7-Depth, 8-Hour, 9-Minute, and 10-Independence Probability. The independence probability was derived from the Monte Carlo search. An independence probability of 1 means the event is fully independent, 0 means the event is an aftershock, and any values between 0 and 1 describe the probability of the event being independent.

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